{"id":4940,"date":"2025-11-25T08:35:08","date_gmt":"2025-11-25T08:35:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/getleveraged.com\/?post_type=reviews&#038;p=4940"},"modified":"2025-11-25T08:35:09","modified_gmt":"2025-11-25T08:35:09","slug":"25-11-25","status":"publish","type":"reviews","link":"https:\/\/getleveraged.com\/uz\/reviews\/25-11-25\/","title":{"rendered":"25.11.25"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Closing Recap&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>U.S. stocks roared back to life on Monday, staging a powerful rally to kick off the holiday-shortened week as dovish commentary from Fed officials reignited hopes for a December interest rate cut. The tech-heavy Nasdaq led the charge, surging an incredible 2.69%, its best day since May, as investors aggressively bought the dip in beaten-up AI and mega-cap names. The rally was broad-based, with advancers outpacing decliners by a 2:1 margin and ten of eleven S&amp;P sectors finishing in the green. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The renewed optimism was fueled by remarks from dovish-leaning Fed officials, including Christopher Waller and Mary Daly, who both voiced support for a December cut, sending the probability soaring to 75%. This dovish repricing weighed on the U.S. dollar and sent gold prices higher. Crude oil also found a bid, while Bitcoin staged a notable recovery after a brutal sell-off.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Key Takeaways&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Massive Tech Rebound: The Nasdaq surged 2.69% in its best single-day performance since May, as investors aggressively bought the dip in mega-cap tech and AI-related stocks after weeks of selling.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Dovish Fed Bets Soar to 81%: The probability of a December Fed rate cut jumped to 81% after dovish-leaning Fed officials, including Governor Waller, openly advocated for another cut, fueling a powerful risk-on rally.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Broad Rally Lifts All Boats: The S&amp;P 500 gained 1.55% with strong market breadth, a stark reversal from the narrow, defensive-led action seen in recent weeks.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Dollar Eases, Gold and Oil Rise: The U.S. dollar was little changed but softened as rate cut bets increased, providing a tailwind for commodities. Gold rose 0.35% to settle at $4,094, and WTI crude gained 1.34%.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bitcoin Recovers After Worst Week Since February: The crypto market participated in the risk-on move, with Bitcoin rebounding to trade near $89,000 after suffering its worst weekly performance since February.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Morgan Stanley Calls for 7,800 S&amp;P 500: Adding to the bullish mood, Morgan Stanley strategist Michael Wilson turned notably positive, predicting a 1,000-point rally for the S&amp;P 500 over the next year.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Data Deluge Begins Tuesday: The market is now bracing for a heavy slate of delayed U.S. economic data for September, including PPI and Retail Sales, which will test the market&#8217;s newfound optimism.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market Overview<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Last week&#8217;s brief period of market anxiety is already a distant memory. After a brutal few weeks of selling, the bulls came storming back on Monday. The catalyst was a clear and decisive dovish shift from key members of the Federal Reserve. Remarks from Governor Waller and SF Fed President Daly, both signaling their support for a December rate cut, were exactly what the market was desperate to hear. This immediately sent rate cut probabilities soaring and unleashed a wave of buying across risk assets. The price action was a mirror image of last week&#8217;s fear, with the beaten-down technology and consumer discretionary sectors leading the charge. The rally was powerful enough to push major indices back above the key technical levels they had breached last week, a positive sign for the bulls. The &laquo;buy the dip&raquo; mentality was on full display as investors piled back into the market&#8217;s leaders, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq soaring over 2.2% in its best single day since May.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td>Index<\/td><td>Up\/Down<\/td><td>%<\/td><td>Last<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>DJ Industrials<\/td><td>202.86<\/td><td>0.0044<\/td><td>46448<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>S&amp;P 500<\/td><td>102.03<\/td><td>0.0155<\/td><td>6705<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Nasdaq<\/td><td>598.92<\/td><td>0.0269<\/td><td>22872<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Russell 2000<\/td><td>44.7<\/td><td>0.0189<\/td><td>2414<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Adding fuel to the fire, Morgan Stanley&#8217;s influential strategist Michael Wilson, who has been cautious for much of the year, turned aggressively bullish, calling for the S&amp;P 500 to rally to 7,800 and advising clients to treat any near-term weakness as a buying opportunity. This potent combination of dovish Fed-speak and bullish strategist calls has set a positive tone for the holiday-shortened week. However, the market&#8217;s conviction will be put to the test starting tomorrow, as a deluge of long-delayed economic data for September finally begins to be released, which will provide the first real evidence of whether the Fed&#8217;s dovish pivot is justified.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Economic Calendar&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>This is a holiday-shortened week in the U.S. due to Thanksgiving on Thursday. Data Released Earlier \/ Overnight:&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>German Q3 Final GDP: Confirmed at 0.0% q\/q, showing the German economy stagnated in the third quarter.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Today&#8217;s Economic Calendar:&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The data deluge begins today, with the market getting its first look at September&#8217;s U.S. activity in weeks.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>European Session: An extremely light calendar with only a few central bank speakers scheduled.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>U.S. Session: The main focus will be on the start of a wave of delayed September data, including Producer Price Index (PPI) and Retail Sales. The weekly ADP jobs report will also be closely watched.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>13:30 GMT &#8211; U.S. September Retail Sales &amp; PPI.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>14:00 GMT &#8211; U.S. Consumer Confidence (Oct).\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Reminder: This is a holiday-shortened week in the U.S., with markets closed Thursday for Thanksgiving and a half-day session on Friday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Asset Class Spotlight: FX, Commodities, Bonds &amp; Crypto<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The big story in commodities is the powerful rebound in Gold. Gold prices rose for a second day, with December futures settling up 0.36% at $4,094.20 an ounce. The metal is benefiting from the sharp increase in Fed rate cut expectations and a slightly weaker U.S. dollar. Crude oil prices also found a bid, with WTI rallying 1.34% to settle at $58.84 a barrel. The rebound was driven by the broad improvement in risk sentiment and dip-buying after a steep sell-off last week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td>Asset<\/td><td>Up\/Down<\/td><td>Unit \/ % Change<\/td><td>Last<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>WTI Crude<\/td><td>0.78<\/td><td>0.0134<\/td><td>58.84<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Gold<\/td><td>14.7<\/td><td>0.0036<\/td><td>4094.2<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>EUR\/USD<\/td><td>0.0004<\/td><td>0.0003<\/td><td>1.1519<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>USD\/JPY<\/td><td>0.74<\/td><td>0.0047<\/td><td>157.12<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Bitcoin<\/td><td>1500<\/td><td>0.017<\/td><td>88650<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10-Year Note Yield<\/td><td>-0.023<\/td><td>-0.0056<\/td><td>0.0404<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The U.S. dollar was on the back foot as the sharp rebound in Fed rate cut bets weighed on the greenback, providing relief for G10 currencies.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>EUR\/USD: The pair edged higher for a second day, trading around 1.1530 as the dollar softened. The divergent policy expectations between a potentially dovish Fed and a steady ECB are providing a tailwind for the single currency. A very large $1.8B options expiry at the 1.1625 level sits above the current price and could act as a resistance cap.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>GBP\/USD: The pound lost ground, trading near 1.3100 as domestic concerns weigh on the currency. Softer inflation data has boosted bets for a December BoE rate cut, while the upcoming UK budget is another source of uncertainty.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>USD\/JPY: The yen remains weak, with the pair holding firm near 157.00. While Japanese officials have issued stronger verbal warnings, the market appears unfazed, focusing instead on the Bank of Japan&#8217;s dovish stance and the government&#8217;s push for massive fiscal stimulus. A large $903M options expiry at the 156.00 level could provide some support below the current price.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Cryptocurrencies: After a brutal week, the crypto market staged a relief rally. Bitcoin bounced back to trade near $89,000, participating in the broader risk-on move. However, the market remains fragile after suffering its worst week since February, with analysts at Deutsche Bank highlighting a number of macro and regulatory headwinds. U.S. Treasury yields fell as investors increased their bets on a December rate cut. The benchmark 10-year yield dropped 2.3 basis points to 4.04%, reflecting the market&#8217;s renewed dovish outlook for the Federal Reserve.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Looking Ahead&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The market&#8217;s newfound optimism will be put to the test starting today as a heavy slate of delayed U.S. economic data for September is finally released. The PPI and Retail Sales reports will be the first major tests. Stronger-than-expected data could quickly reverse the current dovish sentiment and weigh on risk assets. Conversely, signs of a significant slowdown could cement expectations for a December cut and fuel a year-end &laquo;Santa Claus Rally.&raquo; Traders should be prepared for a volatile, holiday-shortened week, with month-end flows also likely to impact price action.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What to Watch<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The Data Deluge is Here: After weeks of flying blind, the market will finally get a flood of delayed economic data. Today&#8217;s September Retail Sales and PPI reports will be critical in confirming or denying the dovish narrative that is currently driving markets. Expect significant volatility.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Thanksgiving Seasonality: Be aware of historical seasonal patterns. The U.S. dollar tends to be weak in the days leading up to Thanksgiving, a pattern that is currently in play. Gold, on the other hand, tends to perform strongly on the Tuesday before and Friday after the holiday.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The AI Rally&#8217;s Second Wind: The powerful rebound in tech shows the AI narrative is far from over. Morgan Stanley remains a strong bull, calling for the S&amp;P 500 to hit 7,800 and advising clients to use any short-term weakness as a buying opportunity.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bitcoin&#8217;s Fragile Bounce: Bitcoin&#8217;s rebound is a positive sign for risk assets, but the technical and fundamental picture remains weak. The key test will be whether it can reclaim the $100,000 level or if this is just a relief bounce in a new bear market.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Closing Recap&nbsp; U.S. stocks roared back to life on Monday, staging a powerful rally to kick off the holiday-shortened week as dovish commentary from Fed officials reignited hopes for a December interest rate cut. The tech-heavy Nasdaq led the charge, surging an incredible 2.69%, its best day since May, as investors aggressively bought the dip\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","review_category":[4],"class_list":["post-4940","reviews","type-reviews","status-publish","hentry","review_category-daily-reviews"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Financial Market Review - 25.11.25<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Leveraged&#039;s Financial Market Review for 25.11.25, your concise summary of recent market events and a look ahead at what\u2019s coming next\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/getleveraged.com\/uz\/reviews\/25-11-25\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"uz_UZ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Financial Market Review - 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