Daily Market Review

Date:

8.7.25
Home Arrow Arrow Daily Market Review Arrow 8.7.25

Closing Recap 

U.S. stocks finished broadly lower, pulling back from recent record highs as President Trump announced new blanket tariffs on Japan and South Korea, reigniting trade war concerns; Treasury yields and the dollar climbed, while oil gained and gold was little changed. 

Key Takeaways 

  • Stocks Fall on Renewed Tariff Fears: Major indices declined (S&P -0.79%, Nasdaq -0.92%) after a strong recent run, as new tariff announcements spooked investors. 
  • Trump Imposes Tariffs on Japan & South Korea: President Trump announced 25% blanket tariffs on imports from Japan and South Korea, effective August 1st, extending the deadline from July 9th but confirming aggressive action.
  • Tariffs Announced on Other Nations: The White House also confirmed new tariffs on Malaysia, Kazakhstan, South Africa, Laos, and Myanmar, raising concerns about broad supply chain impacts. 
  • EU Reportedly Spared (For Now): Reuters reported the EU will not be receiving a similar tariff letter, providing a small measure of relief.
  •  Dollar & Yields Rise: The U.S. dollar and Treasury yields rose on the tariff news, as markets potentially priced in higher inflation and a more complex economic outlook. 
  • Oil Gains, Gold Flat: Crude oil prices rallied on the renewed geopolitical and trade uncertainty, while gold finished little changed after a volatile session. 
  • Focus on Upcoming Catalysts: Markets await key events this week, including Amazon Prime Day, the July 9th tariff pause deadline, FOMC minutes, and multiple Treasury auctions. 

Market Overview

U.S. equity markets experienced their first notable setback in a while, with major indices closing broadly lower and the S&P 500 posting its largest one-day percentage decline since mid-June. The catalyst for the downturn was a fresh wave of trade and tariff headlines from the White House, which reawakened investor fears after a period of relative calm and optimism. Around midday, President Trump announced that the United States will impose 25% blanket tariffs on imports from key allies Japan and South Korea. While the effective date was pushed back to August 1st from the previous July 9th deadline, providing more time for negotiations, the confirmation of such steep levies on major trading partners rattled the market.

IndexUp/Down% ChangeLast
DJ Industrials-422.17-0.009444406
S&P 500-49.37-0.00796229
Nasdaq-188.59-0.009220412
Russell 2000-34.8-0.01552214

Subsequently, the White House announced additional tariffs on a list of other nations, including Malaysia (with potential impacts on the semiconductor supply chain) and Kazakhstan (a key oil producer). These actions overshadowed any positive sentiment from reports that the European Union would be spared from this round of tariff letters. 

Stocks, which had been trading near the flatline, sold off on the news, finishing near the lows of the day. The recent market rally, which has seen the S&P 500 attempt to post its 11th consecutive winning July, was built on hopes of trade de-escalation. Today’s announcements served as a stark reminder that trade policy remains highly unpredictable and a significant risk to the market and global economy. With no major earnings or Fed speakers today, the market’s focus was squarely on these trade developments.

Economic Calendar

No major U.S. economic data releases are scheduled for today. The market was driven entirely by trade policy news. 

  • Key Events This Week: Amazon Prime Day (Tuesday), July 9th tariff pause deadline, FOMC Meeting Minutes (Wednesday), Jobless Claims (Thursday), Treasury Auctions (Tue-Thu). Q2 earnings season kicks off with Delta (DAL) on Thursday. 

Commodities, Currencies, and Treasuries 

Gold prices finished little changed, settling down just $0.10 at $3,342.80 per ounce. The metal saw a volatile session, falling as much as 1% overnight before bouncing back from one-week lows as investors digested the tariff news and its potential impact on the economy and Fed policy. Crude oil prices rallied, with WTI gaining $0.93 (+1.39%) to settle at $67.93/bbl. The rise was likely driven by the increased geopolitical uncertainty stemming from the new tariffs, despite news that OPEC+ is set to approve another output boost for September. 

AssetUp/DownUnit / % ChangeLast
WTI Crude0.93USD/bbl67.93
Brent1.28USD/bbl69.58
Gold-0.1USD/oz3342.8
EUR/USD-0.0069USD1.1709
USD/JPY1.62JPY146.16
10-Year Note0.057%0.04397

The U.S. dollar index strengthened (+0.45%), and Treasury yields climbed, particularly at the long end, as the tariff news potentially complicated the inflation and growth outlook. The 10-year yield rose nearly 6 basis points to 4.397%. A heavy week of Treasury supply, totaling $119 billion, begins tomorrow.

Looking Ahead 

The market will be intensely focused on any further trade developments, particularly reactions from Japan and South Korea to the new U.S. tariffs. The approach of the July 9th tariff pause deadline for other nations remains a critical focal point. Investors will also be watching the start of Amazon’s Prime Day tomorrow for an early read on consumer spending. Key events later in the week, including the release of the FOMC minutes and multiple large Treasury auctions, will provide further insights into monetary policy expectations and investor demand for U.S. debt.

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